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What Cycling Has Taught Me about Rule of Law (and Other Social-Science Geekery)

I make my living as a political scientist, but my big hobby is cycling. I’ve been riding a bike for fun and for exercise off and on for more than two decades now, ever since I was a teenager and first...

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Dr. Bayes, or How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love Updating

Over the past week, I spent a chunk of every morning cycling through the desert around Tucson, Arizona. On Friday, while riding toward my in-laws’ place in the mountains west of town, I heard the roar...

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“They Said It Was Going to Rain”

Most Saturdays and some Sundays, I hook up with a bike ride that winds out of DC’s Rock Creek Park into semi-rural Maryland and back again over the course of a few hours. I depend on this ride for hard...

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Wisdom of Crowds FTW

I’m a cyclist who rides indoors a fair amount, especially in cold or wet weather. A couple of months ago, I bought an indoor cycle with a flywheel and a power meter. For the past several years, I’d...

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Two Guys on Bikes Talk International Development

A couple of weeks ago, on the tail end of a lunchtime group bike ride, I complained to the one guy still headed my way—let’s call him Bob, because I didn’t ask him if I could share our...

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2015 Tour de France Predictions

I like to ride bikes, I like to watch the pros race their bikes, and I make forecasts for a living, so I thought it would be fun to try to predict the outcome of this year’s Tour de France, which...

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